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Topic review - NGFS in Libya?
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  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
"A B-1B Lancer takes off in support Operation Odyssey Dawn from Ellsworth Air Force Base, S.D., March 27, 2011. This mission marked the first time the B-1 fleet has launched combat sorties from the continental United States to strike targets overseas."
http://www.strategypage.com/military_ph ... 24032.aspx

"A flight of three B-2 bombers left Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri to make bombing runs in Libya on March 20"
http://www.dailytech.com/article.aspx?newsid=21208
Post Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2011 11:06 am
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
carr wrote:
News reports state that B-2 bombers have been used in the Libyan effort. As far as I know, all the B-2's are based in the continental U.S. I wonder what the cost of a round trip mission to Libya is? It can't be cheap. When you factor in fuel, crew, weapons, pre- and post-maintenance, etc., it's got to be hundreds of thousands of dollars, maybe more depending on what all you choose to include in the cost equation. War is expensive!!

Can a B-2 make the round trip unrefuelled or does it require in-flight refueling support?

Recent witnesses from NATO Suda Base in Crete, Greece are talking of B-2 landing there.
Post Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2011 9:40 am
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Hi navydavesof, I meant to post this in the Replacing Iowa thread so sorry for dropping it here.

I think that the technology for NGFS may be very advanced and accurate but if something goes wrong and a round lands on a hospital then it is much more difficult to justify it politically. If a bomb is dropped by a plane and something malfunctions then it is easier to explain than if a ship is firing from 25 km offshore and something goes wrong.

There will always be people who say that it was deliberate and the bad old US is up to something. I suppose having a pilot to blame makes things easier for politicians.

As for the B2 - I guess they are used because the USAF has to justify their cost in some way. I don't think there is much need for stealth in Libya.
Post Posted: Mon Apr 04, 2011 4:03 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Admiral John Byng wrote:
Whatever the pros and cons of naval gunfire support, there is no case for battleships.

"What ever the pros are...there is no case." :scratch: Could I please get you to reconsider the objectivity of this statement, sir?

Admiral John Byng wrote:
The size of an Iowa makes it a very expensive ship to man, equip and operate. It does not have the flexibility to justify that expense.t.
I have stated the costs, sir, and those costs come from the US Naval Sea Systems Command and the Congressional Budget Office. The yearly costs break even with 3 days of B-1 and B-52 operation in a dense tactical environment. Six or more months (180 or more days) on station for the price of three days of the same coverage by strategic bombers, that is an awfully good deal.

Quote:
If the USN needs a bigger gun that the 5" currently deployed (and I think there is a case for that) then it will need to fund one.
Well, they did, sir, and it is called the Mk71 Major Caliber Light Weight Gun that fires both ballistic and guided 8" rounds. Its guided rounds landed with extreme accuracy (sinking a target ship with 5 out of 5 hits and 8 out of 10 rounds landing within 5 meters of designated land targets), and its ballistic rounds landed with greater accuracy than 5". The reason it is not used is the very same political decision you allud to later.

Quote:
However, naval gunfire would not be useful in Libya because of the risk of hitting either the wrong target or causing casualties to civilians.
I would ask you to re-examine this statement, too, sir. If this statement were true TACAIR would not be used either. Because of precision guidance, TACAIR is being used very effectively. Naval gunfire can land with the same accuracy as GPS guided weapons (8-inch semi-active laser guided projectile SALG-P or Excalibur 155mm if we were to use the 155mm version of the Mk71). Both TACAIR and NGFS will land right where you designate them. All we have to do is designate the correct position.

Quote:
The operation in Libya is a political one first and foremost and the political risks of gunfire rule it out.
Is there any reason for this, sir? If you mean to say that accuracy was at one time the issue, then yes, some calibers had accuracy problems in history, but that does not have to be the case anymore. Five-inch, 155mm, 8", 11", and 16" all offer precision guidance capabilities, and all but 11" and 16" have been fully developed and proofed. All the USN has to do is implement them. The reason why the USN does not have 5-inch and 8-inch laser guided and GPS guided rounds on ships right now is because they have not installed the weapon systems that provide those capabilities, nothing more.

I would like for you to consider, sir, that there is nothing super special about NGFS. All NGFS is, is delivering ordnance, and we have gotten good at guiding ordnance, both aircraft launched and tube launched.
Post Posted: Sun Apr 03, 2011 1:23 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Whatever the pros and cons of naval gunfire support, there is no case for battleships.
The size of an Iowa makes it a very expensive ship to man, equip and operate. It does not have the flexibility to justify that expense.

If the USN needs a bigger gun that the 5" currently deployed (and I think there is a case for that) then it will need to fund one. However, naval gunfire would not be useful in Libya because of the risk of hitting either the wrong target or causing casualties to civilians. The operation in Libya is a political one first and foremost and the political risks of gunfire rule it out.
Post Posted: Sun Apr 03, 2011 12:45 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Moonboy242 wrote:
I think carr hit on an interesting point: naval gunfire support draws all kinds of people out into all kinds of extreme arguments. The facts that settle these arguments are already written in stone: there is a time and place for direct air support, indirect air strikes (missiles), and good old gunfire support. World War Two, Korea, Vietnam, Lebanon, Desert Storm, all proved that naval gunfire support and direct air support complement each other, and that the use of missiles helps mitigates personnel casualties in politically charged scenarios (remember the “Powell Doctrine”).

Big guns had always been a part of the navy prior to 2000, and now that part of the balance equation is gone. It’s vital that the US Navy has that capability because sometimes there is simply no substitute for sheer weight of steel on a target. It’s why artillery is the king of the battlefield, and it’s why the Army and the Marines call for offshore support when there are no friendly guns ashore.


And this is the bit I struggle with the the great NGFS debate, it goes to extreme's too quickly.

Except for some slower than average people, there is no argument that the Army should ditch it's artillery regiments and replace them with armed reconnaissance / attack helicopter squadrons. After all, one Tp of Tiger ARH can put more HE onto a target than a Field Bty can, the Tp has a longer range, is more flexible (recce, 30 mm, rocket and Hellfire) and in some ways more accurate - but who in their right mind would remove all 105 and 155 mm guns for helicopters? They cost a hell of a lot, can only provide windows of cover, are effected badly by weather (hard to laser designate or use FLIR in a sandstorm) and require specialised (and expensive) logistics trains and support personnel. It takes ~3 years to train a helicopter mechanic; think it take that long for an artillery mechanic? Sure, a F/A-18 puts even more HE on target than a Tiger; but not as close, not as responsive and not as cheaply.

Compare to artillery. If it's in range it can provide rapid response in all weathers (for the ADF the Battle of Long Tan is proof of this) to a high degree of accuracy (with 25 m for 105 mm at Long Tan). It's cheap, can fire all day, can rope in untrained people to support and over a long period of time (ie, as long as the gun numbers and FO's are sorted, anyone can pack ammo up) and can put a massive amount of HE in. Artillery is still essential to the land army; it compliments aviation assets and provides commanders on the ground options.

So why is it different for the Navy. At RMC we were taught that you couldn't call in NGFS within one grid square. Speaking with Navy breathern caused much laughter; when HMAS Brisbane missed her target (with her first round) by 60 m one one of her last shoots the gunnery officer was very embarrassed. Obviously a 16" shell has a larger zone of danger than a 5" (but then again a 155 mm has a larger danger zone than 105 mm), but it can still br brought in accurately in today's world.

So Iowa's? Maybe not. They are expensive. But all those pro-CVN/anti-gun people need to understand that they aren't replacements, they are compliments. 5" is probably too small; at only 127 mm it's smaller than the standard medium artillery piece (either 152 or 155 mm). 6" would tie in well with current Army understanding of offensive support (obviously the US military would have experience with up to 8"), but I would think 8 - 12" would provide a balance of cost, range, rate of fire and effect on target.
Post Posted: Thu Mar 31, 2011 6:07 am
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Mr. Moonboy sums things up pretty well! Great job, sir.

The only corrections I must make are that DDGs, CGs, and BBs are not comparable. For some reason people think they are, but they are not, nor have they ever been. BBs are only comparable with CVNs. BBs deliver 4-8 times the ordnance of a CVN. DDGs and CGs are not in the same league.

So when comparing ordnance delivery capabilities in weights and tonnage, BBs can only be compared with CVNs. CGs and DDGs only carry as many TLAMs as a BB did in the '80s-'90s. If they went by NAVSEA's reactivation plan for BBs, BBs would have over 100 TLAMs, nine 16-inch guns with a 52+nm range, and ESSM.

One must remember. CGs and DDGs are escort ships. BBs are capital ships.

Quote:
Right now the US Navy doesn’t have something that it may very well need.

Very right, sir, and there is an existing system that could be installed aboard new construction DDGs and fire 8-inch rounds. It's called the Mk71 8-inch/60caliber MCLWG. The same magazine fitted for the Spruance-class DD could be incorporated into the new DDGs to carry 500+ 8-inch rounds in a mix of ballistic, guided, and guided extended range rounds.
Attachment:
Mk71ModXsmall.jpg

Again with the 8" laser guided round. This round impacts the target with the same explosive effect as a Harpoon anti-ship cruise missile.
Attachment:
WNUS_8-55_mk71_Guided_pic.jpg

BAE would poop in their pants with pleasure the Mk71 was ordred. So would the entire SOF community, USMC, USAF, and US Army...oh, that's the whole military...except elements of the USN.
Post Posted: Thu Mar 31, 2011 1:10 am
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
And here's the latest on NGFS in Libya. Look at the costs in doing by air/missiles. The solutions put forth are pathetic.

http://www.informationdissemination.net ... naval.html
Post Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 3:30 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Balance. It’s what all effective fighting forces have, and it’s what wins conflicts. It means having the flexibility to adapt to dynamic situations, and a support infrastructure that can help maintain “Plan B” when Mr. Murphy decides to invite Clauswitz and Sun Zsu over for some martinis.

I think carr hit on an interesting point: naval gunfire support draws all kinds of people out into all kinds of extreme arguments. The facts that settle these arguments are already written in stone: there is a time and place for direct air support, indirect air strikes (missiles), and good old gunfire support. World War Two, Korea, Vietnam, Lebanon, Desert Storm, all proved that naval gunfire support and direct air support complement each other, and that the use of missiles helps mitigates personnel casualties in politically charged scenarios (remember the “Powell Doctrine”).

Why are the Iowa’s no longer in commission? One word. Money. They were expensive to maintain in terms of manpower and budget in a Navy that was looking down the throat of a huge downsizing in the late 1990’s. They were effective, they could put massive amounts of firepower in very small areas, and they were huge and robust power projection platforms. Would they survive the threats of today? Possibly. They were built to survive a form of warfare that was based upon unguided projectiles. Later on they faced the Kamikaze threat (essentially a fragile cruise missile), and fared well. Would they be able to survive the gigantic “carrier killer” torpedoes and cruise missiles that the Soviet Navy introduced? Who knows? Actually, the US Navy probably found out once they sank the ex-USS America, but they’re not going to publish those findings anytime soon.

At present, the US Navy finds itself with a budget driven force designed to protect aircraft carriers, amphibious warfare, and to support “asymmetric warfare”. The funding gets split up between those three primary cultures and they fight tooth and nail for every last penny. Having an Iowa could very well mean having one less Nimitz out there.

It’s debatable whether or not an Iowa is needed offshore of Libya. Nine 16 inch guns, twelve 5 in guns, and eight Tomahawk cruise missile launchers on one ship could easily relieve three or four cruisers and destroyers in the support mission (although an Iowa would still need those ships for protection). What an Iowa doesn't answer is “what, exactly, is the role of the US military and the United States there?”, and "what, exactly, are the real long term missions of the US Navy?" A prudent historian would tell you that the US Navy needs to be prepared to fight many different kinds of wars, including past wars, and also provide for the means to ramp up to a type of conflict not yet seen.

Big guns had always been a part of the navy prior to 2000, and now that part of the balance equation is gone. It’s vital that the US Navy has that capability because sometimes there is simply no substitute for sheer weight of steel on a target. It’s why artillery is the king of the battlefield, and it’s why the Army and the Marines call for offshore support when there are no friendly guns ashore.

It’s always better to have something and not need it today, than to need it today and not have it.

Right now the US Navy doesn’t have something that it may very well need.
Post Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 1:16 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Admiral,

1. There isn't any substantive NGFS available anyway.
2. There is no reason that there couldn't be much more accurate Naval Gun Fire other than the fact that nobody but the Army has put any effort or money into developing the appropriate projectiles, such as Excaliber. The reason the Army has done it is that virtually all of the combat arms branches benefit from more accurate 155mm gunfire. Aviators don't see any benefit to themselves in gunfire and aviators now run, at the least, the US Navy.

Russ
Post Posted: Sun Mar 27, 2011 12:55 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
NGFS is a very useful asset but I think the need to avoid civilian casualties means it is unlikely to be deployed in Libya.
Post Posted: Sun Mar 27, 2011 12:04 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Pleasure, mate--we're here to serve!
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 5:46 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
John @ WEM wrote:
Hi Carl,

NGFS = Naval Gun Fire Support. And another factor in why it might be desirable in Libya is the President's announcement that he is sending in 2,200 Marines--in spite of previous assurances there would be no boots on the ground!

Marines? Uh oh.

By the way, John (going off topic), great work on the DDG-51 PE, and thank you for the help holding my current order until I was certain I was not going to be evacuated from Japan. Your products and customer service are great.
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 4:55 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
John @ WEM wrote:
Hi Carl,

NGFS = Naval Gun Fire Support. And another factor in why it might be desirable in Libya is the President's announcement that he is sending in 2,200 Marines--in spite of previous assurances there would be no boots on the ground!


Oh! Thanks, John. I thought for sure that it might mean National Guard of Florida State. :big_grin:

That was the only thing that could pop into my head.
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 4:42 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Hi Carl,

NGFS = Naval Gun Fire Support. And another factor in why it might be desirable in Libya is the President's announcement that he is sending in 2,200 Marines--in spite of previous assurances there would be no boots on the ground!
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 4:37 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Anybody want to clue me in on what "NGFS" means or stands for? :wave_1: :huh: :scratch:
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 4:27 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
I believe that spending the money that would be required for activating four battleships and manning them and trying to keep them running would be better spent on putting larger guns or some other lower cost delivery system than Tomahawks on a larger number of ships like all or a large subset of the DDG BURKE's and/or CG BUNKER HILL's. The odds of one of them being close enough to where there would be a need is MUCH greater that one of the battleships. We never know where the next "Military" action will arise. Did anyone think we would be in Libya a month ago? Korea in 1950's and Vietnam in 1960's made sense for battleship and cruiser fire support. The fire support provided by the two battleships off Iraq in 1991 was of minimal value in the overall campaign. With the smaller size forces we have today, being able to react/strike quickly is the most important. We have achieved amazing degrees of improvement in accuracy for all kinds of weapons, take advantage of that, don't go down a nostalgia path. Our ability to strike a target we want without damaging surrounding civilians has sent a strong message to bad actors. In Tripoli, civilians are going about business even while attacks are in progress because they know we are NOT going to be carpet bombing them to hit one building or tank.
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 3:04 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
I'm always amused by the extremism that seems to arise when the subject of naval gunfire support comes up. The anti-battleship people seem unable to recognize any situation, whatsoever, where big guns might be helpful and cost efficient. On the other hand, the pro-battleship people seem unable to recognize that other, equally useful forms of explosive delivery (airplanes, missiles, whatever) exist and can be highly effective.

There is a need for explosives delivery. No one disputes that. The question is how best to fill that need. What balance of planes, missiles, and ships would best meet the requirements? Any reasonable person or analysis would, undoubtedly, show that a mix of all possible methods is the best solution. Each method has its strengths and weaknesses. Airpower is good for rapid response if naval support is not immediately present. Naval power is good for sustained operations and quick response to changing local conditions, once they've arrived on the scene.

Naval gunfire is clearly a desirable piece of the delivery puzzle. The Navy's internal question is how to accomplish it. Is it better to have a battleship or is it better to mount 8" (Mk71) guns on destroyers? Valid arguments, based on cost, politics, manning, effectiveness, availability, maintenance, etc., can be made for and against either approach (or any other approach one can come up with).

Unfortunately, the Navy put all its gunfire support eggs into the DDG1000 (AGS 155mm gun) basket and that has largely failed. The question now is what's Plan B? I don't think the Navy has one, at the moment.

Anyone espousing either extreme of the battleship question is just demonstrating a lack of understanding of warfare, economics, and politics. A person can be against battleships because of the overall balance of factors (cost, manning, effectiveness, politics, etc.) while still recognizing their potential usefulness. Conversely, a person can be in favor of battleships while still recognizing their drawbacks and difficulties. Geez, people, have a position on the issue but relax a little.

Regards,
Bob "Even Keel" Carr
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 12:55 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
Even IF there was an IOWA or two IOWA's off the coast of Libya, aircraft would still be needed to knock out the Air Defenses inland and other command and control locations.

The issue of DEPENDING on battleships for fire support would be that given that there are four of them available and that all are in commission. There would never be more than two available for deployment in a forward area ... likely only one with one in transit. So by the time the President and his French handlers had decided that the Libya government was about to kill a whole city of civilians in 48 hours and it was time to act. Where would the IOWA battleship be? For a good many years now we don't keep many ships in the whole MED area ... only passing through to the war zones. The likely spot would be outside the Persian Gulf where they could "act" against pirates? Yemen targets? They certainly were not providing fire support in Afghanistan or Iraq. I guess the IOWA could have been cruising in the Gulf waving at the Iranian Missile Boats. How long would it take for that IOWA to get off Libya? Likely after all the major targets have been destroyed by cruise missiles.

Both Air Power and Ship Gunfire to knock-out targets in urban areas with "good guys and bad guys" mixed require recon on the ground or a good number of drones overhead or both. You need to interface with the "good" guys so know "WHO" they are in the mix and to know where civilians are. I have not tried to figure out how many BURKE crews it would take to man four battleships, but given that the USN would likely NOT see their budget increased to pay for the battleships, how many other ships would need to be mothballed?

The pro battleship guys always seem to assume that the ship will be there on scene from the start of the need that it would be optimal for. If you have a war in a country close to the ocean that you "plan" on fighting for several years, then maybe.
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 12:07 pm
  Post subject:  Re: NGFS in Libya?  Reply with quote
News reports state that B-2 bombers have been used in the Libyan effort. As far as I know, all the B-2's are based in the continental U.S. I wonder what the cost of a round trip mission to Libya is? It can't be cheap. When you factor in fuel, crew, weapons, pre- and post-maintenance, etc., it's got to be hundreds of thousands of dollars, maybe more depending on what all you choose to include in the cost equation. War is expensive!!

Can a B-2 make the round trip unrefuelled or does it require in-flight refueling support?
Post Posted: Sat Mar 26, 2011 9:57 am

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