carr wrote:
Judging one weapon system as inferior to another depends on what the criteria are. If the mission is a single attack on an inland target, the SSGN is the best choice. If the mission is sustained fire support within 20 miles of shore, what better platform is there than a BB? The BB is not inherently better or worse than any other platform. It has things it does well and things it does not - same as any other platform.
Here is the crux of the matter - you have completely redefined the criteria to fit your assertion *sustained fire support within 20 miles of shore* - which is incredibly restrictive, and to the point, does not fit current operational plans.
I say this as a retired officer with combat experience, a former SOF guy, a strike and contingency planner on a Unified Staff, an OR analyst, and a guy who has done some bean counting for Congress. Based upon recent personal, experience – I do not think any Admiral or General is contemplating the type of operations, which make the battleship a premier weapons platform . I doubt any would award assert that it deserves higher priority than other critical priorities like more SSNs, a new SSGN, TOE(X), a replacement for the CGs, etc..
Consider:
- In the last ten years have you seen a Unified Combatant Command with an operational/functional/contingency plan that calls for *sustained fire support within 20 nm of shore* against a peer competitor (hypothetically China), or a major regional power (hypothetically NK, Iran)? Really? Seriously?
- Please describe a scenario in which the US is going to conduct forced entry operations against a peer competitor or a major regional power without first achieving air superiority (and all that entails)?
And being objective, I think it is very much in debate whether the battleship is the *best* fire support platform. Best at close support? Interdiction? Deep strike? Please define fire support (think Joint Pub 3-09). Consider:
- Having been a guy on the ground, I would not want to call a battleship to support troops in contact with the enemy - danger close for a 16" shell is ~800 meters, which is way too much.
- The premier fire support weapon for working close to friendly troops is the AC-130 gunship hands down. In a 24-year career, no one who has actually seen them fire has voiced a contrary opinion to me. True all weather capability, the ability to shoot through multiple story buildings and kill a target in a specific room (with friendlies in the building), able to hose down a huge area, or to zap a specific gomer with a single round – nothing is like an AC-130 for close support.
- Mortars, A-10s, AH-1s and AH-64s are all much better tools for *close support* than a battleship. These systems can all work fire close around friendly forces. And these weapons systems have the range or mobility to keep up with the troops, which the battleship does not, unless we are looking at island scenarios. Ask any commander who fought in Iraq (1991 or 2003) if he felt that he did not have enough fire support.
- Aircraft excel at the interdiction role, because they can search large areas, put eyes (sensors on target), attack at will, conduct BDA, and re-engage if necessary.
- Have you taken a look at current Rules of Engagement (ROE)? I think they will probably go right out the window in a major war, but ask yourself how firing a 2700, or 1800 lb 16" shell into a school or Mosque to kill three or four gomers with a mortar fits in with ROE.
carr wrote:
Quote:
In fact if you look at Hughes book, you might find that he is arguing that much of the what has been bandied about on this forum as *strike warfare* is really a capability that lies within the cruisers and destroyers of the CVBG battle group, not the carrier itself, at least not until deep strike drone aircraft like the X-47B are fielded en mass.
You lost me on this one. I'm missing whatever point you're trying to make. Maybe rephrase it and try again?
What is the principal weapon of a CVBG used to destroy/degrade air defences prior to launching strikes overland? Answer: Tomahawk. It could also be provided by systems launched from B-1/2/52s, P-7/8s.
carr wrote:
Quote:
I also remind battleship proponents that there are only four of these ships – if we really need more platforms (and we do), why not bite the bullet and build exactly what we need rather than screw around trying to upgrade four ships when we need more?
Again, I'm slightly lost. Are you saying that want to build new BB-like ships?
The U.S. buys capabilities, not platforms. What I am saying is that if we need a capability, then we need to address that. I do not think four ships provides that capability. It helps, but does not really fix the issue. I advocate fixing the issue, which requires actually buying whatever the system, or more likely group of solutions is.
carr wrote:
Quote:
I am *very skeptical* that a battleship will be able to employ its guns against targets ashore in a significant regional power like Iran, or North Korea until the very late stages of a conflict.
Why? Because of the threat of mines and diesel subs? The Navy is in the business of dealing with threats. Now, mines are a valid threat and the Navy is woefully lacking in combat MCM capability, I'll give you that! As far as subs, the Navy has spent a great deal of money on Burkes, helo-borne ASW, and SSNs to deal with the sub threat. If after all that, we won't enter contested water then we've wasted a great deal of money and resources. Warfare has an element of risk to it. If a BB surface group can't enter near-shore waters due to the sub threat then the Navy isn't building the right platforms.
Late stages of a campaign means exactly that *later stages*: first ASW and deep strikes, followed by, air superiority, followed by screening operations, then a minesweeping campaign and finally the battleship/amphibs gets called in.
The issue is how to conduct effective operations to degrade/destroy the enemy at minimal cost to our forces. Explicitly, what are our national goals, and why should we fight our way into littoral waters if it is not needed? This puts our fleet at the disadvantage, and is exactly the problem battleships – they need to get close to bring their principal weapons to bear.
Warfare is a two-way range where the enemy gets a voice in the matter – why do something that plays the game to his advantage? In 1940, the Western Allies were thinking trench warfare; the Germans didn’t want to play the attrition warfare game and tried a different operational model. So should we.
carr wrote:
Quote:
... likely to run into the $1B+ range to get DDG like capability, and that is before you touch the costs of screwing around with rebuilding. As an engineer you know that conversions rather than new builds typically result in wrecked time lines, cost overruns, and too often performance issues.
Upgrades/remodelling costs more than new construction, by definition, since you have to demolish before you can build. That's a given. On the other hand, given that the Navy can't build a warship for under $4B, a lot of upgrading can be accomplished for the cost of one new build!
No, a Burke is about $1.2B – about $800M for the systems.
carr wrote:
Quote:
All this leads me back to the question: Without its guns and armor - what does a battleship really bring to the table?
Again, you lost me. That's like asking what a carrier brings to the table without its planes. ...
You clearly are not in favor of bringing back BBs. You are aware of the ever declining numbers of carriers. What is your solution for the loss of strike capability, if not BBs? …
I am not against bringing back the battleship, in fact I think that there is room for a fire support ship (monitor, CA, whatever).
What I am against is ill-considered groupthink that favors one course of action over another without looking at vital national objectives, and current fleet capabilities (especially the gaps).
I do not think that the battleship provides true strike capability as called for in the way the US is thinking about employing fires in future major conflicts. It does have a role for Amphibious operations.
On the CVN shortfall – the obvious solution is to build more, supplement them with smaller less capable carriers ( stretched CATOBAR LHDs, Converted Merchant Hulls), or look for other options to fill gaps: arsenal ship, conventional tipped, ballistic missiles, land based air (P-8s, HAVs, etc.), heck put kinetic warheads on satellites...