Timmy C wrote:
A real one that is supposed to make you think of factors that decide on what occurs in history, and how each of those factors are dependent on other factors that allow the "first" factors to happen, and so-on and so-forth.
So, you want a real answer then. It sounds like all you are talking about are the variables that sway the consequences in an event causing process. First, understand there is a difference between the Spruance-class DDG I shared on here and a common "WIF". The Sprunace was an actual project proposal given to the Navy to solve a number of the issues it is facing.
The real answer to the Spruance question is that there was a lot of justicication needed to push the "New Family of Ships" fleet forward [CG(X), DD(X), FF(X) LCS, and street fighter.] Those programs, specifically DD(X), which turned into DDG-1000, and LCS needed a lot of justification for funding, becuase as you saw with my Spruance there are a lot of other options out there. So, here a choice was made at a fork in the road that caused a split time-line to which you're referring. Instead of taking a smaller bite and build affordable ships so the Navy could maintain the minimum fleet level of 301 ships and 12 aircraft carriers, the Navy decided to force the funding and development of DDG-1000 and LCS by putting the fleet in a vulnerable position by destroying the 26-27 usable ships of the Spruance-class.
"Most of the Spruance-class were all usable. They should not have been decommissioned,"... "I like your proposal a lot. You said you sent this to the CNO? You should have given it to us," and "...The Spruance-class were not only decommissioned but sunk to support the procurement of DDG-1000 and LCS."
[NAVSEA rep Portsmouth, Virginia].
A fellow poster on here, CAPT Potter, first pointed this out and caused me to ask NAVSEA about it. I was very surprised to hear that be the case.
When I was doing the project, it was focused on the proposal of the last five existing Spruance-class ships of which were still in very good condition be reactivated to fill the NSFS, cheap AAW, and capable SOF hosting capability gap that exists. Here is another divergence: a decision was made to keep that proposal from either going any further, was ignored, or was rejected at a higher level. The
reason, the
factors involved and the
history established you illuded to lead to very few conclusions. The most likely seems to be that this boiled down to keeping the fleet in a vulnerable position to force the funding of DDG-1000 and LCS, too.
The whole of the factors leading to the divergences in history that lead not to adopt a modified Spruance-class illustrate that the decision makers' priorities seem to exist in an office and not in the fleet.