Busto,
You're acting like the conversation the group is having is a personal attack on you just because we are not agreeing with you right off the bat. It's not.
I apologize for not addressing every point you have made, but as you have probably experienced yourself, in my line of work I don't have a whole lot of spare time. I think it's great that you have been so successful that you are either retired or you have made enough money to where you have time to write all that you write. It's very fascinating and quite educational. It really helps show us where you're coming from. My schedule is a little more constrained. If I am not at the office, I am in the gym, in the pool, negotiating an obstacle course, learning a new martial art, running, learning demolitions, maintaining my gear, or corresponding with people from whom I can learn. I don't have a whole lot of time to build the models I want to build or have the conversations on here as I would like. I apologize that I don't have the time to counter all the necessary points in the posts you make.
Busto963 wrote:I have made a career out of "questioning the system" - and been paid quite well to do so.
The issue here is that you are not even looking at what people in "the system" or "outside the system" are saying, but feel free to dismiss every contrary opinion.
I have not been dismissing any opinions. I take them on board and have addressed the ones I disagree with. With you it's been more of trying to keep you on track. You keep drawing the issue back to the AirSea Battle paper that addresses a conflict with China. I keep trying go get you to understand that the subject is not China, nor should it be. Sure the battleships can participate in a conflict with China, as you said we would be operating from within their own harbors, but the Navy is concerned about more than just China.
Worse, you clearly do not have a serious professional or technical background to go after people (like when you challenged me reference "danger close)
It's interesting you took it that way. I am surprised. I did not go after you. I corrected you.
1) By your own admission you have no education, or experience as an FO/Anglico/FAC etc. your opinions are based on supposition and anecdote.
2) You are not a strike planner, never done post strike BDAs etc.
3) You are not familiar with ASW (a key component of naval thinking)
4) You are not an engineer, scientist, Operations Research Analyst etc.
5) You have no experience with procurement, manpower, shipbuilding etc.
Actually it turns out that I only mentioned the first of your points. The other 4, you are assuming an awful lot. Don�t forget, �Assuming makes an ass out of you, not me�.
I don't share with many people on here who I am and what experience I have, because I don't need to. All anyone needs to know is that my screen name is what it is, and I have a mentality to lean forward into every new day, because the only easy day was yesterday. I don't share how many ships I have boarded or what kinds of trainings I have gone through, where I have been, how warm the water is in the Persian Gulf or what the visibility is like, what Arabs smell like, how poor their muzzle discipline is, or how much sand I have breathed, because I don't need to. This is not a policy forum on SIPERNet where in depth introductions are needed. This is a modeling website. We build models and talk about stuff here.
I guess I will address the concerns above because you didn't read what I wrote earlier.
1) I said I have not formally been to the ANGLICO school. I did not get a seat in the class, because due to the continuing resolution, my command did not have the training funds to pay for a seat in the class. However, my CO coordinated with the school's OIC and instructors to allow me to sit in the classroom portions and go on the FieldEX to Ft Pickett. Because of this, I did not receive the NEC, but I received a lot of hands on training coordinating with adjacent forces via grid squares, GPS, and laser designation, and because of the training I was able to coordinated several stand by 5" fire missions from a CG while down range. My CO saw the advantage in this, and a permanent funding line has been allocated to the squadrons my old unit is apart of for ANGLICO school, and people receive the training every year. Like I said earlier, I have training in the area, but I would like to go to the school for real, get credit for it, and get more practice, because the qual is only good for 6 months anyway.
2)No, I am not a strike planner, nor am I a leprechaun. I don't see what that has to do with the idea of taking out targets with cheap, plentiful, and quickly manufactured ordnance instead of expensive, scare ordnance that takes 18 months to build. Nor do I see what it has to do with utilizing a platform we already have with weapon systems we currently manufacture for (even in the largest projections) very little comparative cost.
3) We have not talked about ASW, but I am very familiar with it. I have written a points paper for the CNO's SSG about the ASW situation, and I have configured a ship design that can cheaply (approximately 1/2 the cost) and effectively address the problem while improving the fleets ASuW and NSFS capability.
4) We have not talked about engineering, but I am an engineer educated at Texas A&M University, and I was the first enlistedman invited to work at the War College by a 4-star Admiral as an unconventional analyst.
5) We have not talked about shipbuilding or man power, either. I have spent a long time talking to the Iowa-class Modernization project manager, one of the best naval architects to work at Longbeach Naval Shipyard, about the ins and outs about how the Iowas were modernized in the 1960s, 1980s, and how they were to be fitted with VLS, 5"/54caliber guns, and an AAW weapon direction system and launchers in the 1990s. I have frequent correspondence and the occasional telephone call with Ronald O'Rourke of CRS about the modern Naval issues. When I don't know I go to the people who know and ask. Then I know.
The goes on, but does this sound like a reasonable basis for telling Admiral Greenert the Chief of Naval Operations, General Schwartz the Air Force Chief of Staff, Admiral Willard, Commander of USPACOM that their assessments are unsound?
No, but being a thinking person does justify questioning any assessment. On the topic of the AirSea Battle paper, despite Admiral Greenert's and Admiral Roughead's endorsements, Admiral Roughead did not change procurement to reflect the needs put forward in the AirSea Battle paper. Admiral Greenert has said nothing that would lead one to believe that procurement is going to be shifted to reflect the conclusions put forward in the paper. Forty percent of the Navy's new procurement is in the Littoral Combat ship, a ship that can't realistically answer any of the heavy needs expressed in the AirSea Battle paper. More important than that the Navy is looking at drawing down to a 220 ship fleet and reducing 1-2 CVNs in the near term and posslibly 3 in the long term. The
George Washington crew has already been warned that this is likely the ship's last forward deployment cycle. The ship is looking at decommissioning instead of refueling in 2016 or earlier. The
Ford is being pushed out even further so we won't have it for years longer than already projected.
It is clear there are a lot of flag officers who really like the AirSea Battle paper, but we have to keep in mind the most important thing here.
Political whims are now driving force levels, not National Strategy. The coming budget reductions will gut the military, and the Navy is already cutting. I have seen nearly 20% of my command be kicked out of the Navy because of budget driven manpower reductions.
You go to war with the military you have. Popular or not, the US Military does not have the means to carry out the AirSea Battle presently much less to build to the capabilities ($200 million conventional ballistic missiles - your number) it calls for. If we want the AirSea Battle to become procurement reality, we need another political administration. Otherwise, the AirSea Battle is nothing more than a paper popular amongst flag officers.
I have noted on several occasions that you have made statements regarding Congress and BB activation which are simply not true - I have asked you several times to provide documentation to your claims regarding Congressional interest in reactivation of BBs - no response. Anyone can look at the unclassified Congressional hearings, and even classified programs have funding lines defined in the National Defense Appropriations.
I am not sure where you are going with this. The idea here is not to point out what the Congress has already said. It's to point out what short comings can be filled in the near to mid-term with what we have on hand. The battleships have capabilities that Congress did not address. If you want to, you can watch the congressional testimony CAPT Fred Moosally gave in 1990 about how the battleships had far more capability than the Navy (or Congress) was giving them credit for. NSFS (NGFS then) was only a small portion of the missions the ship was capable of accomplishing. As I have illustrated before, the same is true today. This is �outside of the box� thinking. If you don't like what I have to say, how about the men who drove the battleships around and executed wartime and deturrent missions with them?
http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/SIowaI
Busto963 wrote:There is a chorus of professional concern that a carrier and her escorts will have a difficult time operating against such an opponent - how do you expect a BB which must close significantly even with a 200 nm range, than a carrier?
I think you missed his point. I don't think SumGui or anyone here is concerned about a BB getting in and fighting with China in the middle of the first stages of the conflict. However, anyone who knows Aegis or has spent a considerable amount of time talking with senior Aegis technicians, knows that if you like it or not, Aegis is a really, really good platform and if functioning in a wartime posture will successfully defend any group in high threat environments without the aid of air cover.
...the battleship will require over 26 hours of exposure to substantial enemy land based air power, on the way in to its target, and another 26 hours on the way out. And then of course there are the submarines, IRBMs etc. to deal with. If we let the enemy air forces tank (they have a robust capability), and give them long range ASCMs (which they have en mass...) - the exposure time doubles.
This is very true. But again, a group would not likely be sent into a Chinese scenario like that anyway you go about it.
The rest of the things you talk about are China based. The subject has always been the battleship going where heavy ordnance is needed but the presence of carriers can't be afforded.
These reasons make the submarine and long range stealthy drones/cruise missiles the future of Air Sea Battle
The AirSea Battle will benefit from these, but current Navy budgeting cannot afford the necessary growth, especially in SSGNs in the near or mid term to meet these challenges. The fact that some of our most sophisticated UAVs have either been commandeered by a foreign power and safely landed or have safely landed themselves instead of self-destructing in enemy territory puts the heavy use of UAVs AirSea Battle calls for in the "highly questionable/unreliable" box.
That is a great example of the closed minded thinking that you are flailing against, not to mention "the pot calling the tea kettle black."
..."flailing"? Really? Mr. Busto...I have used italics, bold, and underlines because that's a similar tone you have taking, but you're using colors, derogatory statements, etc. in every one of your messages. In the written world that means you're being really, really emphatic...like yelling. I am making statements. You continue to make points that I have already countered as if you did not read my response at all. It's these types of things that illustrate yourself to be emotionally compromised as opposed to being a conversationalist. You've been so offended by my factual statements that you do not address them but instead make personal attacks so bad that you're censored by the moderators.
Like I said when I started this post, just because we're not giving you absolute authority when you say something does not mean we're attacking you. We are making points that counter what you have to say. As you can see, we are having conversations, we're exchanging ideas, and trying to learn. Your "how dare you question me" tone does not add to the conversation.
I invite you to start a thread about the AirSea Battle so we can talk about it, but I think enough has been said about it here.
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edit for spelling errors I initially overlooked. Ron would kick me in the ass.